{"id":12573,"date":"2020-05-11T07:24:39","date_gmt":"2020-05-10T22:24:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?p=12573"},"modified":"2020-05-11T07:24:39","modified_gmt":"2020-05-10T22:24:39","slug":"post-12573","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?p=12573","title":{"rendered":"\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u8a50\u6b3a\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u611f\u67d3\u3067\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u306f\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3092\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30da\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u30ab\u30ec\u30c3\u30b8\u30ed\u30f3\u30c9\u30f3\u304c\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6570\u7406\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u3088\u308b\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f2020\u5e743\u670830\u65e5\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\uff08\u56f3\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis\/covid-19\/report-13-europe-npi-impact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u3053\u3053<\/a>\u3088\u308a\uff09<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"12595\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?attachment_id=12595\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?fit=967%2C301&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"967,301\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Yasuyuki&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1588776785&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"UK\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?fit=300%2C93&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?fit=640%2C199&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12595\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?resize=300%2C93\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"93\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?resize=300%2C93&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?resize=768%2C239&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?resize=320%2C100&amp;ssl=1 320w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/d85664b70807e2fb964d7a9498eb4f19.jpg?w=967&amp;ssl=1 967w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"12594\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?attachment_id=12594\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?fit=967%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"967,294\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Yasuyuki&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1588776818&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u2161\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?fit=300%2C91&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?fit=640%2C195&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12594\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=300%2C91\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"91\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=300%2C91&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=768%2C233&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=320%2C97&amp;ssl=1 320w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?w=967&amp;ssl=1 967w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u304b\u3089\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u3001\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u306f3\u670824\u65e5\u306b\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3059\u3050\u306b\u5b9f\u884c\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f1\u672a\u6e80\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3057\u305f\u30025\u67085\u65e5\u306b\u66f4\u65b0\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f0.7\u3050\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1f\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u7d76\u5927\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u898b\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002\uff08\u56f3\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/mrc-ide.github.io\/covid19estimates\/#\/details\/United_Kingdom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u3053\u3053<\/a>\u3088\u308a\uff09<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"12597\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?attachment_id=12597\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?fit=1488%2C530&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1488,530\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Yasuyuki&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1588785344&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"UK\u518d\u751f\u7523\u65702\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?fit=300%2C107&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?fit=640%2C228&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12597\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?resize=300%2C107\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"107\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?resize=300%2C107&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?resize=1024%2C365&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?resize=768%2C274&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?resize=320%2C114&amp;ssl=1 320w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?w=1488&amp;ssl=1 1488w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/343383220f05f75abe04132b8290c792.jpg?w=1280 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u306f\u4e0b\u306b\u793a\u3059\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306e\u524d\u304b\u3089\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f1\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306f\u95a2\u4fc2\u306a\u3057\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u5f8c\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u5909\u5316\u306a\u3057\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30a2\u30a4\u30eb\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u3082\u540c\u69d8\u306b\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u524d\u306bR=1\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u3059\u3002\uff08\u4e0b\u306e\u56f3\u306e\u30a2\u30a4\u30eb\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306e\u65e5\u4ed8\u306f\u9593\u9055\u3044\u3067\u3001\u672c\u5f53\u306f3\u670828\u65e5\u3067\u3059\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">&#8230;and in Ireland too. Our lockdown was 23\/3. Our Government published this modelling slide 2 weeks ago. It clearly shows R moving to 1 *before* lockdown. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rgQsnNd2Zc\">pic.twitter.com\/rgQsnNd2Zc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 X \u00c6 A-12 McBobster (@davecoghlan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davecoghlan\/status\/1257694052398628864?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u306e\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u306f5\u67088\u65e5\u73fe\u5728\u3067\u6a2a\u3070\u3044\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\uff08\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldometers.info\/coronavirus\/country\/uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u3053\u3053<\/a>\uff09<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"12646\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?attachment_id=12646\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?fit=883%2C501&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"883,501\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Yasuyuki&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1589025344&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"UK\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u65702\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?fit=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?fit=640%2C363&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12646\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?resize=300%2C170\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"170\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?resize=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?resize=768%2C436&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?resize=320%2C182&amp;ssl=1 320w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/c816568ef2985742a4546f51670be0cd.jpg?w=883&amp;ssl=1 883w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u306e\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u5168\u4f53\u3067\u306e\u5b9f\u884c\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f\u30010.6\uff5e0.9\u306e\u9593\u3060\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/japanese\/52497140\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u3053\u3053<\/a>\u53c2\u7167\uff09\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3057\u305f\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u306e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u6570\u306f3\u4e07\u4eba\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3067\u306f\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3057\u3001\u5b66\u6821\u3082\u4f11\u6821\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u306f\u3069\u3046\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u4e0a\u306e\u56f3\u3092\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u5ea6\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"12594\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/promea2014.com\/blog\/?attachment_id=12594\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?fit=967%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"967,294\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Yasuyuki&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1588776818&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u2161\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?fit=300%2C91&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?fit=640%2C195&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12594\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=300%2C91\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"91\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=300%2C91&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=768%2C233&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/1fa9c40ed7c7705e7f666812a3cb9a89.jpg?resize=320%2C97&amp;ssl=1 320w, 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data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/06f36691ed5f51fb092aaa37b57bde1a.jpg?fit=300%2C120&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/06f36691ed5f51fb092aaa37b57bde1a.jpg?fit=640%2C256&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12648\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/06f36691ed5f51fb092aaa37b57bde1a.jpg?resize=300%2C120\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"120\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/06f36691ed5f51fb092aaa37b57bde1a.jpg?resize=300%2C120&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/06f36691ed5f51fb092aaa37b57bde1a.jpg?resize=1024%2C410&amp;ssl=1 1024w, 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data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?fit=869%2C604&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"869,604\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Yasuyuki&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1588776585&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?fit=300%2C209&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?fit=640%2C445&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-12591\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?resize=300%2C209\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?resize=300%2C209&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?resize=768%2C534&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?resize=320%2C222&amp;ssl=1 320w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/promea2014.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/8641989818b8dcd551f88c5a236ac347.jpg?w=869&amp;ssl=1 869w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u306e\u56f3\u306f\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5b9f\u52b9\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u3067\u3059\u3002\uff08\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se\/contentassets\/4b4dd8c7e15d48d2be744248794d1438\/sweden-estimate-of-the-effective-reproduction-number.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u3053\u3053<\/a>\u3088\u308a\uff09\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u4e00\u77ac3\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u30012\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306a\u304f\u30011\u524d\u5f8c\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3057\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5b66\u6821\u3092\u4f11\u6821\u306b\u3057\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f1\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u304c\u3046\u307e\u304f\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3057\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u5927\u3057\u3066\u5909\u308f\u308a\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306b\u306f\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3001\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3057\u306a\u3044\u3068\u518d\u751f\u7523\u6570\u306f2\u3068\u304b3\u3068\u304b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u6570\u5024\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u304c\u5927\u7206\u767a\u3059\u308b\u3068\u30a4\u30f3\u30da\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u30ab\u30ec\u30c3\u30b8\u30ed\u30f3\u30c9\u30f3\u306f\u8b66\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u5f93\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30b9\u30a6\u30a7\u30fc\u30c7\u30f3\u304c\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306e\u62d2\u5426\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u306b\u3088\u308a5\u67081\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u306b4\u4e07\u4eba\u30016\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306b10\u4e07\u4eba\u8fd1\u304f\u306e\u6b7b\u8005\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 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